Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 68%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 12.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.55%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 1-0 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.