Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 49.25%. A win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 25.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Torpedo Moskva win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.