Russian Premier League Gameweek 14
Oct 23, 2022 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Akhmat Arena
  • Mohamed Konate 41' goal

Akhmat Grozny vs Torpedo Moskva - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Krasnodar 2 - 3 Akhmat Grozny
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Mohamed Konate

Torpedo Moskva

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Oct 15, 2022 12.00pm
Torpedo Moskva 0 - 1 Lokomotiv
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Ilya Stefanovich

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 60.25%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 16.74%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.89%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Akhmat Grozny in this match.

Result

Akhmat Grozny 60.25% (-0.17)
Draw 23.01% (+0.21)
Torpedo Moskva 16.74% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.97% (-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.59% (-0.86)
Under 2.5 52.41% (+0.86)
Over 3.5 25.91% (-0.74)
Under 3.5 74.09% (+0.74)

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5 82.96% (-0.36)
Under 0.5 17.04% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 52.81% (-0.65)
Under 1.5 47.19% (+0.65)

Torpedo Moskva Goals

Over 0.5 55.41% (-0.57)
Under 0.5 44.59% (+0.57)
Over 1.5 19.4% (-0.46)
Under 1.5 80.61% (+0.47)

Score analysis

Akhmat Grozny 60.24%
Draw 23%
Torpedo Moskva 16.74%
Akhmat Grozny
1-0 @ 13.44% (+0.29)
2-0 @ 11.89% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 7.02% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.11)
4-0 @ 3.11% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 2.51% (-0.08)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.08)
5-0 @ 1.1% (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 60.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.85% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 7.6% (+0.26)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 23%
Torpedo Moskva
0-1 @ 6.14% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 4.39% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.48% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.18% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 16.74%