Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Torpedo Moskva win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lokomotiv Moscow in this match.