Russian Premier League | Gameweek 13
Oct 15, 2022 at 12pm UK
Futbol'naya Akademiya Spartak im. F. Cherenkova
Lokomotiv Moscow

Torpedo Moskva
0 - 1
Lokomotiv

FT(HT: 0-0)
Karpukas (48')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Torpedo Moskva and Lokomotiv Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Torpedo Moskva 0-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Sunday, October 9 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Sochi 4-0 Lokomotiv
Saturday, October 8 at 5pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 26.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Torpedo Moskva win was 1-0 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lokomotiv Moscow in this match.

Result
Torpedo MoskvaDrawLokomotiv Moscow
26.16% (-0.191 -0.19)25.07% (-0.029 -0.03)48.77% (0.219 0.22)
Both teams to score 52.68% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.89% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)50.1% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.92% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)72.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Torpedo Moskva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.32% (-0.167 -0.17)33.68% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (-0.182 -0.18)70.33% (0.181 0.18)
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43% (0.085000000000008 0.09)20.57% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.9% (0.137 0.14)53.09% (-0.138 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Torpedo Moskva 26.16%
    Lokomotiv Moscow 48.76%
    Draw 25.07%
Torpedo MoskvaDrawLokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 7.54% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-1 @ 6.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.1% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 2.35% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.86% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.49% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.16%
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 10.95% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 9.43% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.66% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
1-3 @ 4.97% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 4.57% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.97% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.81% (0.021 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 48.76%