Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 7
Aug 28, 2022 at 1pm UK
RZD Arena

Lokomotiv
5 - 1
Orenburg

Ignatyev (8', 11', 19'), Kerk (52'), Miranchuk (90+4' pen.)
Barinov (82')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Sychevoy (13')
Pavlovets (36'), Khotulev (84'), Florentin (90+4')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

Last Six:
Last Game: Khimki 0-3 Lokomotiv
Saturday, August 20 at 1pm in Russian Premier League

Orenburg

Last Six:
Last Game: Krasnodar 2-0 Orenburg
Sunday, August 21 at 6pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 47.51%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawOrenburg
47.51% (0.007000000000005 0.01)25.25% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)27.25% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 53.03% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.93% (0.035000000000004 0.04)50.07% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.95% (0.031000000000002 0.03)72.04% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.9% (0.016999999999996 0.02)21.1% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.08% (0.027000000000001 0.03)53.92% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.21% (0.019999999999996 0.02)32.79% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.65% (0.021999999999998 0.02)69.35% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 47.5%
    Orenburg 27.25%
    Draw 25.24%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawOrenburg
1-0 @ 10.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 4.84% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 4.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.88% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 47.5%
1-1 @ 12%
0-0 @ 6.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 27.25%

Head to Head
Jun 21, 2020 3.30pm
Lokomotiv
1-0
Orenburg
Miranchuk (38')
Zhemaletdinov (19'), Cerqueira (52'), Barinov (79')
Zhemaletdinov (45+4')

Miskic (41'), Malykh (57'), Sylla (64'), Fameyeh (70'), Ayupov (72'), Zotov (80'), Radakovic (90+3')
Miskic (62'), Malykh (84')
Sep 22, 2019 9.30am
Orenburg
2-3
Lokomotiv
Rogic (69'), Kulishev (93')
Barinov (10'), Smolov (48' pen.), Eder (88')
Ignatyev (33'), Zhivoglyadov (45'), Kolomeytsev (77')
Dec 8, 2018 2.30pm
Lokomotiv
2-1
Orenburg
Farfan (76', 81')
Krychowiak (69'), Barinov (92')
Despotovic (8')
Sutormin (17'), Despotovic (66')
Aug 12, 2018 12pm
Orenburg
1-0
Lokomotiv
Chukanov (91')
Miskic (77'), Begic (95')

Miranchuk (14'), Corluka (20'), Lysov (67')