Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Krylia Sovetov
47.62% ( -0.03)	24.77% ( -0)	27.61% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 54.84% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.17% (

0.02)

47.83% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.99% (

0.02)

70.01% (

-0.03)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.86% (

-0)

20.14% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.59% (

-0)

52.41% (

-0)

Krylia Sovetov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.67% (

0.03)

31.33% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.31% (

0.04)

67.69% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Lokomotiv Moscow 47.62%

Krylia Sovetov 27.61%

Draw 24.77%

Lokomotiv Moscow	Draw	Krylia Sovetov
1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 47.62%	1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.77%	0-1 @ 7.32% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.84% Total : 27.61%