Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.