Russian Premier League | Gameweek 3
Jul 31, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Samara Arena

Krylia Sovetov
1 - 1
Torpedo Moskva

Shitov (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Karaev (19')
Samsonov (34'), Enin (83'), Temnikov (90')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Krylia Sovetov and Torpedo Moskva.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 52.99%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Krylia SovetovDrawTorpedo Moskva
52.99% (0.027999999999999 0.03)24% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)23% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.75% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57% (0.027999999999999 0.03)48.43% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.44% (0.024999999999999 0.02)70.56% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Krylia Sovetov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.78% (0.022000000000006 0.02)18.22% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.75% (0.036000000000001 0.04)49.24% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Torpedo Moskva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.51%35.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74% (0.0010000000000012 0)72.26% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Krylia Sovetov 52.99%
    Torpedo Moskva 23%
    Draw 24%
Krylia SovetovDrawTorpedo Moskva
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.37% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 5.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 52.99%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.47% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24%
0-1 @ 6.7% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.47% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.74%
0-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 23%

rhs 2.0


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