Russian Premier League | Gameweek 1
Jul 17, 2022 at 1pm UK
Futbol'naya Akademiya Spartak im. F. Cherenkova

Torpedo Moskva
1 - 3
Sochi

Drkusic (50' og.)
Lebedenko (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Tsallagov (35'), Sarveli (37'), Melkadze (90+4')
Yusupov (13'), Yurganov (33'), Zaika (54'), Drkusic (87')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Torpedo Moskva and Sochi.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 50.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 22.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.21%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 1-0 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.

Result
Torpedo MoskvaDrawSochi
22.74% (-0.061 -0.06)26.43% (-0.052 -0.05)50.82% (0.108 0.11)
Both teams to score 45.44% (0.07 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.09% (0.125 0.13)57.91% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.38% (0.097000000000001 0.1)78.62% (-0.101 -0.1)
Torpedo Moskva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.94% (0.012 0.01)41.06% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.39% (0.012 0.01)77.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Sochi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.1% (0.101 0.1)22.9% (-0.105 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.34% (0.152 0.15)56.66% (-0.156 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Torpedo Moskva 22.75%
    Sochi 50.82%
    Draw 26.42%
Torpedo MoskvaDrawSochi
1-0 @ 8.37% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 5.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.73% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.11% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 22.75%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 9.4% (-0.046999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.05% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 13.86% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 10.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.02% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.47% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.01 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.85% (0.014 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.65% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 50.82%

How you voted: Torpedo Moskva vs Sochi

Torpedo Moskva
16.7%
Draw
66.7%
Sochi
16.7%
6