Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Dynamo Moscow	Draw	Sochi
43.89% ( -0.01)	27.92% ( -0)	28.18% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 45.85% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.35% (

0.02)

59.64% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.03% (

0.01)

79.96% (

-0.02)

Dynamo Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.99% (

27.01% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.63% (

0.01)

62.36% (

-0.01)

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.82% (

0.02)

37.17% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.04% (

0.02)

73.96% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Dynamo Moscow 43.89%

Sochi 28.18%

Draw 27.91%

Dynamo Moscow	Draw	Sochi
1-0 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.6% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.23% 4-1 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.89% Total : 43.89%	1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 10.04% 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.91%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0) Other @ 1.77% Total : 28.18%