Russian Premier League | Gameweek 4

Aug 6, 2022 at 6pm UK

Stadion FK Krasnodar

Krasnodar
3 - 0
Lokomotiv

Ramirez (78'), Olusegun (85', 90+4')
Ionov (9'), Spertsyan (20'), Volkov (45+1'), Ramirez (65'), Manelov (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Miranchuk (15'), Mampasi (66')

Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between FC Krasnodar and Lokomotiv Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Krasnodar

Last Six:

Last Game: Ural 1-3 Krasnodar
Friday, July 29 at 4pm in Russian Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Akhmat Grozny	3	0	4
9	FC Krasnodar	3	-1	4
10	Krylia Sovetov	3	-1	4

Lokomotiv Moscow

Last Six:

Last Game: Zenit 5-0 Lokomotiv
Saturday, July 30 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
13	Nizhny Novgorod	3	-3	2
14	Lokomotiv Moscow	3	-5	2
15	Torpedo Moskva	3	-6	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 53.07%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 23.58% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (6.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.

Result
FC Krasnodar	Draw	Lokomotiv Moscow
53.07% ( -0.11)	23.35% ( -0)	23.58% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 55.55% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.95% (

0.1)

45.05% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.6% (

0.1)

67.4% (

-0.11)

FC Krasnodar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.06% (

-0)

16.94% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.98% (

47.02% (

-0)

Lokomotiv Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.88% (

0.15)

33.12% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.28% (

0.16)

69.72% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

FC Krasnodar 53.07%

Lokomotiv Moscow 23.58%

Draw 23.34%

FC Krasnodar	Draw	Lokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.78% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.06% Total : 53.07%	1-1 @ 11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.34%	0-1 @ 6.2% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 23.58%