Russian Premier League | Gameweek 28
May 8, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Arsenal Stadium
Krasnodar

Arsenal Tula
1 - 1
Krasnodar

Kangwa (19')
Kainov (22'), Smolnikov (63'), Kostadinov (76'), Kangwa (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Spertsyan (76' pen.)
Litvinov (31'), Matsukatov (83')
Sorokin (90+1')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Arsenal Tula and FC Krasnodar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Tula

Last Six:
Last Game: Arsenal Tula 1-2 Ural
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Russian Premier League

FC Krasnodar

Last Six:
Last Game: Krasnodar 1-1 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, May 21 at 3pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 53.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 22.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 1-0 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal TulaDrawFC Krasnodar
22.77% (0.12 0.12)24.12% (0.244 0.24)53.1% (-0.362 -0.36)
Both teams to score 52.09% (-0.613 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (-0.888 -0.89)49.16% (0.888 0.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.77% (-0.807 -0.81)71.23% (0.80800000000001 0.81)
Arsenal Tula Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.88% (-0.381 -0.38)36.12% (0.383 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.1% (-0.391 -0.39)72.9% (0.39200000000001 0.39)
FC Krasnodar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.54% (-0.46900000000001 -0.47)18.46% (0.471 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.35% (-0.801 -0.8)49.64% (0.802 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Tula 22.77%
    FC Krasnodar 53.1%
    Draw 24.12%
Arsenal TulaDrawFC Krasnodar
1-0 @ 6.79% (0.175 0.18)
2-1 @ 5.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 3.46% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.98% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 22.77%
1-1 @ 11.47% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.239 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 11.26% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-2 @ 9.52% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 5.46% (-0.107 -0.11)
0-3 @ 5.36% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.084 -0.08)
1-4 @ 2.31% (-0.081 -0.08)
0-4 @ 2.26% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 53.1%

Head to Head
Aug 15, 2021 6pm
Krasnodar
3-2
Arsenal Tula
Cabella (24'), Gazinskiy (29'), Cordoba (37')
Chernikov (56')
Lutsenko (10', 86')
Parfyonov (50'), Bjornstrom (65'), Novoseltsev (88')
Apr 11, 2021 12pm
Arsenal Tula
1-0
Krasnodar
Causic (62')
Belyaev (58')

Berg (8'), Cabella (53'), Vilhena (66'), Wanderson (73')
Aug 18, 2020 6pm
Krasnodar
2-0
Arsenal Tula
Petrov (35'), Berg (66')
Utkin (27'), Petrov (62'), Berg (64'), Olsson (74')

Denisov (16'), Bauer (37'), Causic (54')
Nov 24, 2019 1.30pm
Arsenal Tula
1-2
Krasnodar
Lutsenko (47')
Alvarez (24'), Shamov (62'), Grigalava (93')
Vilhena (7'), Petrov (25')
Martynovich (16'), Berg (26'), Utkin (61'), Vilhena (67'), Ignatjev (90')
Sep 29, 2019 5pm
Krasnodar
2-0
Arsenal Tula
Ari (38' pen.), Suleymanov (63')
Olsson (45'), Martynovich (96')
Vilhena (93')

Lomovitskiy (43')