Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 82.25%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 6.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.68%) and 4-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.31%), while for an Arsenal Tula win it was 1-2 (1.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Arsenal Tula
82.25%	11.49%	6.26%

Both teams to score 49.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.99%

28.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.22%

48.78%

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.98%

5.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

79.94%

20.06%

Arsenal Tula Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.38%

47.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.05%

82.95%

Score Analysis

Zenit St Petersburg 82.25%

Arsenal Tula 6.26%

Draw 11.49%

Zenit St Petersburg	Draw	Arsenal Tula
2-0 @ 10.71% 3-0 @ 10.68% 4-0 @ 7.99% 2-1 @ 7.95% 3-1 @ 7.92% 1-0 @ 7.16% 4-1 @ 5.93% 5-0 @ 4.78% 5-1 @ 3.55% 3-2 @ 2.94% 6-0 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 2.2% 6-1 @ 1.77% 5-2 @ 1.32% 7-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.97% Total : 82.25%	1-1 @ 5.31% 2-2 @ 2.95% 0-0 @ 2.39% Other @ 0.84% Total : 11.49%	1-2 @ 1.97% 0-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.51% Total : 6.26%