Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
Krylia Sovetov	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
27.84%	25.36%	46.81%

Both teams to score 53.13%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.84%

50.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.88%

72.12%

Krylia Sovetov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.62%

32.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.11%

68.89%

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.56%

21.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.55%

54.45%

Score Analysis

Krylia Sovetov 27.84%

Zenit St Petersburg 46.81%

Draw 25.35%

Krylia Sovetov	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
1-0 @ 7.83% 2-1 @ 6.8% 2-0 @ 4.41% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.66% Other @ 2.62% Total : 27.84%	1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 6.94% 2-2 @ 5.23% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 9.28% 0-2 @ 8.23% 1-3 @ 4.77% 0-3 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 1.83% 0-4 @ 1.63% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.43% Total : 46.81%