Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 69.12%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 11.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.2%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 1-0 (4.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Nizhny Novgorod	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
11.87%	19.01%	69.12% ( 0)

Both teams to score 45.93% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.23%

45.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.92%

68.08%

Nizhny Novgorod Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.26% (

47.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.96%

83.04% (

Zenit St Petersburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.88% (

12.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.31% (

37.69%

Score Analysis

Nizhny Novgorod 11.87%

Zenit St Petersburg 69.11%

Draw 19.01%

Nizhny Novgorod	Draw	Zenit St Petersburg
1-0 @ 4.28% 2-1 @ 3.34% 2-0 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.67% Total : 11.87%	1-1 @ 9.03% 0-0 @ 5.79% 2-2 @ 3.52% Other @ 0.68% Total : 19.01%	0-2 @ 12.88% 0-1 @ 12.2% 1-2 @ 9.53% ( 0) 0-3 @ 9.06% 1-3 @ 6.7% 0-4 @ 4.78% 1-4 @ 3.54% 2-3 @ 2.48% 0-5 @ 2.02% 1-5 @ 1.49% 2-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.12% Total : 69.11%