Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 50.81%. A win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.47%). The likeliest Arsenal Tula win was 1-0 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Tula	Draw	Dynamo Moscow
25.32%	23.87%	50.81%

Both teams to score 55.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.32%

45.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32%

68%

Arsenal Tula Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68%

31.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.54%

68.46%

Dynamo Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.98%

18.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.11%

48.89%

Score Analysis

Arsenal Tula 25.32%

Dynamo Moscow 50.81%

Draw 23.86%

Arsenal Tula	Draw	Dynamo Moscow
1-0 @ 6.57% 2-1 @ 6.42% 2-0 @ 3.74% 3-1 @ 2.44% 3-2 @ 2.09% 3-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.64% Total : 25.32%	1-1 @ 11.25% 0-0 @ 5.76% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.86%	0-1 @ 9.88% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-2 @ 8.47% 1-3 @ 5.51% 0-3 @ 4.84% 2-3 @ 3.14% 1-4 @ 2.36% 0-4 @ 2.07% 2-4 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.55% Total : 50.81%