Russian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 22, 2020 at 3.30pm UK
Stadion Arsenal
Dynamo Moscow

Arsenal Tula
2 - 0
Dynamo Moscow

Lesovoy (23', 74' pen.)
Causic (38'), Bauer (58'), Gromyko (63'), Kangwa (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fomin (35'), Yevgenyev (79'), Grulyov (84')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Arsenal Tula and Dynamo Moscow.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 39.25%. A win for Arsenal Tula had a probability of 34.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Arsenal Tula win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal TulaDrawDynamo Moscow
34.26%26.49%39.25%
Both teams to score 52.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.55%52.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.87%74.12%
Arsenal Tula Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.91%29.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.99%65.01%
Dynamo Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.84%26.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.77%61.23%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Tula 34.26%
    Dynamo Moscow 39.25%
    Draw 26.49%
Arsenal TulaDrawDynamo Moscow
1-0 @ 9.4%
2-1 @ 7.78%
2-0 @ 5.8%
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-0 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 2.15%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 34.26%
1-1 @ 12.6%
0-0 @ 7.61%
2-2 @ 5.22%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 10.2%
1-2 @ 8.45%
0-2 @ 6.84%
1-3 @ 3.78%
0-3 @ 3.06%
2-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.27%
0-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 39.25%