Russian Premier League | Gameweek 5
Aug 14, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg
1 - 0
Torpedo Moskva

Vorobyev (31')
Vera (12'), Poluyakhtov (33'), Mansilla (52'), Sivakov (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Turischev (90+1')
Kutepov (48')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Torpedo Moskva.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rostov 2-1 Orenburg
Sunday, August 7 at 6pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Torpedo Moskva win was 0-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Orenburg in this match.

Result
OrenburgDrawTorpedo Moskva
47.68% (0.014000000000003 0.01)24.73% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)27.59% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.31%47.69% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12%69.88% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)20.05% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.73% (0.012 0.01)52.27% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Torpedo Moskva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.72% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)31.28% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37% (-0.012 -0.01)67.63% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 47.68%
    Torpedo Moskva 27.59%
    Draw 24.73%
OrenburgDrawTorpedo Moskva
1-0 @ 10.07%
2-1 @ 9.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 47.68%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.27%
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.64% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 27.59%