Russian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 7, 2022 at 6pm UK
Rostov Arena

Rostov
2 - 1
Orenburg

Poloz (45+1' pen.), Komlichenko (60' pen.)
Pesyakov (68'), Karpin (70'), Utkin (90+1'), Mironov (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Vorobyev (69' pen.)
Sivakov (2'), Malykh (33'), Pavlovets (34'), Ektov (59')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Rostov and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rostov 1-0 Khimki
Sunday, July 31 at 6pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rostov would win this match.

Result
RostovDrawOrenburg
47.6% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)24.49% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)27.91% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.55% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)46.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.27% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)68.73% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Rostov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)19.59% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.46% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)51.53% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.39% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.41% (0.0039999999999978 0)66.59% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Rostov 47.6%
    Orenburg 27.91%
    Draw 24.49%
RostovDrawOrenburg
1-0 @ 9.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 47.6%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.96% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 7.09% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.22% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.73% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.23%
0-3 @ 1.68% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 27.91%

Head to Head
Jul 12, 2020 4.30pm
Orenburg
0-0
Rostov

Malykh (19')

Normann (44')
Jul 13, 2019 7.30pm
Rostov
2-1
Orenburg
Shomurodov (11'), Ionov (42')
Bayramyan (26'), Normann (54')
Despotovic (49')
Malyarov (43'), Sivakov (52'), Afonin (81')
Apr 20, 2019 12pm
Orenburg
3-0
Rostov
Normann (41' og.), Galadzhan (60'), Chirkin (91')
Galadzhan (81')

Normann (39'), Novoseltsev (82')
Oct 6, 2018 2.30pm
Rostov
0-1
Orenburg

Parshivlyuk (37'), Gatcan (91')
Terekhov (11')
Andreev (23'), Afonin (54'), Miskic (82'), Sutormin (92'), Oyewole (92'), Chukanov (93')
rhs 2.0


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