Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Krasnodar win with a probability of 49.42%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Krasnodar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Krasnodar would win this match.

Result
FC Krasnodar	Draw	Orenburg
49.42% ( 0.18)	24.25% ( -0.06)	26.32% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 55.45% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.47% (

0.17)

46.52% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.2% (

0.16)

68.8% (

-0.16)

FC Krasnodar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.12% (

0.14)

18.88% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.64% (

0.23)

50.35% (

-0.23)

Orenburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.35% (

-0)

31.64% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.94% (

-0.01)

68.05% (

Score Analysis

FC Krasnodar 49.42%

Orenburg 26.32%

Draw 24.25%

FC Krasnodar	Draw	Orenburg
1-0 @ 9.96% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 49.42%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.25%	0-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 26.32%