Russian Premier League Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2022 12.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
  • Khyzyr Appaev 41' goal
  • Sergey Bozhin 44' goal
  • goal Igor Lebedenko 28'
  • goal Igor Smolnikov 64'

Fakel vs Torpedo Moskva - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fakel

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 18, 2022 2.30pm
Sochi 1 - 1 Fakel
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Georgy Gongadze

Torpedo Moskva

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 17, 2022 12.00pm
Torpedo Moskva 1 - 0 CSKA
Goals scored
21
Top scorer
Ilya Stefanovich

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 48.14%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.

Result

Fakel 48.14% (-1.23)
Draw 25.97% (+0.46)
Torpedo Moskva 25.9% (+0.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.75% (-0.67)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.17% (-1.22)
Under 2.5 53.83% (+1.22)
Over 3.5 24.7% (-1.03)
Under 3.5 75.3% (+1.03)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5 77.62% (-1.04)
Under 0.5 22.38% (+1.05)
Over 1.5 44.12% (-1.59)
Under 1.5 55.88% (+1.59)

Torpedo Moskva Goals

Over 0.5 64.1% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 35.9% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 27.32% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 72.68% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Fakel 48.13%
Draw 25.97%
Torpedo Moskva 25.9%
Fakel
1-0 @ 12.02% (+0.19)
2-1 @ 9.22% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 9% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 4.6% (-0.22)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.22)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.12)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.14)
4-0 @ 1.68% (-0.14)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 48.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32% (+0.21)
0-0 @ 8.03% (+0.38)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.97%
Torpedo Moskva
0-1 @ 8.23% (+0.39)
1-2 @ 6.31% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 4.22% (+0.20)
1-3 @ 2.16% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.44% (+0.07)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 25.9%