Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 48.14%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Torpedo Moskva win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.