Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ural Yekaterinburg win with a probability of 46.76%. A win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ural Yekaterinburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Torpedo Moskva win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ural Yekaterinburg would win this match.