Russian Premier League Gameweek 10
Sep 18, 2022 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht
  • Christian Noboa 11' goal
  • goal Evgeny Morozov 5'

Sochi vs Fakel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Sochi

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 9, 2022 6.00pm
Sochi 2 - 1 Dynamo Moscow
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Christian Noboa

Fakel

All competitions
Russian Premier League
Last game
Sep 11, 2022 1.00pm
Fakel 2 - 0 Lokomotiv
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Georgy Gongadze

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 14.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Fakel win it was 1-2 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Sochi 66.9% (-0.76)
Draw 18.63% (+0.25)
Fakel 14.48% (+0.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.97% (+0.52)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.24% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 37.75% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 40% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 60% (-0.01)

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5 89.57% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 10.43% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 65.99% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 34.01% (+0.43)

Fakel Goals

Over 0.5 61.37% (+0.71)
Under 0.5 38.63% (-0.71)
Over 1.5 24.63% (+0.67)
Under 1.5 75.37% (-0.67)

Score analysis

Sochi 66.89%
Draw 18.63%
Fakel 14.48%
Sochi
2-0 @ 10.29% (-0.18)
2-1 @ 9.79% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 9.11% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 7.76% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 7.38% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 4.38% (-0.15)
4-1 @ 4.17% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.51% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 1.98% (+0.02)
5-0 @ 1.98% (-0.08)
5-1 @ 1.88% (-0.04)
Other @ 4.67%
Total : 66.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.66% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.66% (+0.11)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.63%
Fakel
1-2 @ 4.12% (+0.13)
0-1 @ 3.83% (+0.08)
0-2 @ 1.82% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.48% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 1.31% (+0.07)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 14.48%