Russian Premier League | Gameweek 10
Sep 18, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht
Fakel

Sochi
1 - 1
Fakel

Noboa (11')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morozov (5')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Sochi and Fakel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sochi

Last Six:
Last Game: Sochi 2-1 Dynamo Moscow
Friday, September 9 at 6pm in Russian Premier League

Fakel

Last Six:
Last Game: Fakel 2-0 Lokomotiv
Sunday, September 11 at 1pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 14.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.66%), while for a Fakel win it was 1-2 (4.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result
SochiDrawFakel
66.9% (-0.752 -0.75)18.63% (0.243 0.24)14.48% (0.506 0.51)
Both teams to score 54.97% (0.52 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.24% (0.0020000000000024 0)37.75% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40% (0.0030000000000001 0)60% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Sochi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.57% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)10.43% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.99% (-0.422 -0.42)34.01% (0.42 0.42)
Fakel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.37% (0.705 0.7)38.63% (-0.708 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63% (0.665 0.66)75.37% (-0.66799999999999 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    Sochi 66.89%
    Fakel 14.48%
    Draw 18.63%
SochiDrawFakel
2-0 @ 10.29% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.11% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-0 @ 7.76% (-0.188 -0.19)
3-1 @ 7.38% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.38% (-0.142 -0.14)
4-1 @ 4.17% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.05 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.98% (-0.08 -0.08)
5-1 @ 1.88% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 4.67%
Total : 66.89%
1-1 @ 8.66% (0.096 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.104 0.1)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 18.63%
1-2 @ 4.12% (0.124 0.12)
0-1 @ 3.83% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.82% (0.068 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.48% (0.06 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 14.48%

rhs 2.0


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