Russian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Aug 7, 2022 at 6pm UK
Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht

Sochi
2 - 1
Nizhny Novgorod

Noboa (33' pen.), Yusupov (38')
Yusupov (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Yoldoshev (83')
Kornyushin (15'), Aleksandrov (32'), Kobesov (76')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Sochi and Nizhny Novgorod.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sochi

Last Six:
Last Game: Sochi 2-1 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, July 30 at 6pm in Russian Premier League

Nizhny Novgorod

Last Six:
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 2-2 CSKA
Sunday, July 31 at 1pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 63.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.

Result
SochiDrawNizhny Novgorod
63.26% (0.265 0.27)21.91% (-0.207 -0.21)14.82% (-0.055 -0.05)
Both teams to score 45.06% (0.468 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.62% (0.70200000000001 0.7)51.38% (-0.701 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.8% (0.61 0.61)73.2% (-0.61000000000001 -0.61)
Sochi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.34% (0.32600000000001 0.33)15.66% (-0.325 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.31% (0.601 0.6)44.69% (-0.601 -0.6)
Nizhny Novgorod Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.42% (0.349 0.35)46.57% (-0.348 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.83% (0.264 0.26)82.16% (-0.262 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Sochi 63.26%
    Nizhny Novgorod 14.82%
    Draw 21.91%
SochiDrawNizhny Novgorod
1-0 @ 13.52% (-0.23 -0.23)
2-0 @ 12.53% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.75% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.92% (0.09 0.09)
4-0 @ 3.59% (0.059 0.06)
4-1 @ 2.75% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.056 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.33% (0.036 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.038 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 63.26%
1-1 @ 10.33% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.29% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-2 @ 3.66% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 21.91%
0-1 @ 5.57% (-0.102 -0.1)
1-2 @ 3.95% (0.01 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.01% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.93% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 14.82%

Head to Head
May 13, 2022 5pm
Sochi
0-0
Nizhny Novgorod

Yusupov (61')

Ennin (45'), Yoldoshev (77'), Goylo (90+5')
Ennin (47')
Jul 26, 2021 5pm
Nizhny Novgorod
1-0
Sochi
Gorbunov (68')
Kakkoev (15'), Sapeta (77')

Popov (75')