Russian Premier League
Gameweek
17
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Vladimir Sychevoy
2'
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Lucas Vera
23'
-
Vladimir Sychevoy
29'
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Jimmy Marin
51'
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Vladimir Sychevoy
59'
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Aleksey Ionov
43'
Orenburg vs FC Krasnodar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 45.07%. A win for FC Krasnodar had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest FC Krasnodar win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.
Result
Orenburg
45.07%
▼
(-0.84)
Draw
24.09%
▲
(+0.23)
FC Krasnodar
30.83%
▲
(+0.61)
Both Teams to Score:
59.24%
▼
(-0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5
57%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 2.5
42.99%
▲
(+0.74)
Over 3.5
34.6%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 3.5
65.39%
▲
(+0.74)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5
80.73%
▼
(-0.65)
Under 0.5
19.26%
▲
(+0.64)
Over 1.5
49%
▼
(-1.07)
Under 1.5
50.99%
▲
(+1.07)
FC Krasnodar Goals
Over 0.5
73.37%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 0.5
26.63%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
38.14%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
61.86%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Orenburg
45.07%
Draw
24.09%
FC Krasnodar
30.83%
Orenburg
2-1
@
9.21%
▼
(-0.07)
1-0 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 45.07%
1-0 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.11)
2-0 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 5.05% ▼ (-0.14)
3-0 @ 3.82% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.34% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.11)
4-0 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.08)
4-2 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 45.07%
Draw
1-1
@
11.17%
▲
(+0.15)
2-2 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.09%
2-2 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.17)
3-3 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.09%
FC Krasnodar
1-2
@
7.4%
▲
(+0.11)
0-1 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.23)
0-2 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 30.83%
0-1 @ 6.79% ▲ (+0.23)
0-2 @ 4.49% ▲ (+0.16)
1-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.69% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.98% ▲ (+0.07)
1-4 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 30.83%
Braian Mansilla
56'