Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 12, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
RZD Arena

Lokomotiv
1 - 2
Spartak Moscow

Isidor (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Promes (21' pen.), Prutsev (29')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Spartak Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Ural 2-2 Lokomotiv
Sunday, November 6 at 11am in Russian Premier League

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Sochi 1-1 Spartak Moscow
Saturday, November 5 at 11am in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 20.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.52%) and 0-2 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 2-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Spartak Moscow in this match.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawSpartak Moscow
20.05% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)21.64%58.31% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.27% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.28% (-0.012 -0.01)41.71% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.88% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)64.11% (0.012 0.01)
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.45% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)34.54% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.73% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)71.26% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.97%14.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.42%41.58% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 20.05%
    Spartak Moscow 58.31%
    Draw 21.63%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawSpartak Moscow
2-1 @ 5.38% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
1-0 @ 5.15%
2-0 @ 2.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-1 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.002 -0)
3-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 20.05%
1-1 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.63%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-1 @ 9.52% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 9.35% (0.004999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 6.51%
0-3 @ 6.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 3.46% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-4 @ 3.2%
0-4 @ 3.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.26%
0-5 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 58.31%

Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 5pm
Spartak Moscow
1-0
Lokomotiv
Sobolev (35')
Sobolev (47')
Apr 2, 2022 6.30pm
Lokomotiv
1-0
Spartak Moscow
Isidor (85')
Beka Beka (24'), Babkin (58'), Maradishvili (80'), Isidor (90+1')

Caufriez (48')
Nov 7, 2021 4pm
Spartak Moscow
1-1
Lokomotiv
Umyarov (64')
Litvinov (11'), Sobolev (36'), Bakaev (36')
Litvinov (35')
Kerk (23')
Maradishvili (26'), Kulikov (30'), Kerk (45+1'), Zhivoglyadov (55'), Barinov (78'), Jedvaj (90'), Jedvaj (90+5')
Apr 11, 2021 5pm
Lokomotiv
2-0
Spartak Moscow
Kamano (22'), Smolov (45+2')
Barinov (55'), Mukhin (58'), Marinato (74'), Kamano (76'), Zhemaletdinov (84'), Zhivoglyadov (85')

Sobolev (23'), Dzhikiya (76'), Maslov (85')
Lucas (45')
Aug 23, 2020 5pm
Spartak Moscow
2-1
Lokomotiv
Larsson (53'), Sobolev (81')
Umyarov (86')
Cerqueira (10')
Barinov (7'), Rybus (41'), Krychowiak (44'), Corluka (69'), Rybchinsky (80')