Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 15
Oct 29, 2022 at 5pm UK
RZD Arena
CSKA Moscow

Lokomotiv
0 - 1
CSKA

FT(HT: 0-1)
Medina (22')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and CSKA Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lokomotiv 1-3 Dynamo Moscow
Saturday, October 22 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Orenburg 2-2 CSKA
Sunday, October 23 at 12pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 22.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.76%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Lokomotiv Moscow win it was 2-1 (5.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.

Result
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawCSKA Moscow
22.86% (0.178 0.18)22.93% (0.062000000000001 0.06)54.21% (-0.24 -0.24)
Both teams to score 56.06% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.04% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)43.96% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.65% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)66.34% (0.067000000000007 0.07)
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.85% (0.123 0.12)33.15% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.24% (0.134 0.13)69.76% (-0.134 -0.13)
CSKA Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.86% (-0.10599999999999 -0.11)16.14% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.42% (-0.193 -0.19)45.58% (0.193 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Lokomotiv Moscow 22.86%
    CSKA Moscow 54.21%
    Draw 22.93%
Lokomotiv MoscowDrawCSKA Moscow
2-1 @ 5.95% (0.035 0.04)
1-0 @ 5.91% (0.037 0.04)
2-0 @ 3.26% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.19% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.2% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 22.86%
1-1 @ 10.77% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.42% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.35% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.21% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 9.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.9% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.97% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.41% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.3% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.72% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.47% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 54.21%

Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 4pm
Lokomotiv
1-2
CSKA
Isidor (42')
Zhemaletdinov (77')
Yazici (39'), Fernandes (90+1')
Zainutdinov (30'), Gbamin (40'), Dzagoev (88')
Jul 31, 2021 6pm
CSKA
1-2
Lokomotiv
Bistrovic (19')
Mukhin (23'), Tiknizyan (58'), Oblyakov (90+3')
Smolov (22'), Zhemaletdinov (60')
Barinov (30'), Cerqueira (31'), Kulikov (43')
Feb 27, 2021 4pm
Sep 27, 2020 5pm
CSKA
0-1
Lokomotiv

Bistrovic (8')
Bistrovic (60')
Smolov (45')
Eder (70'), Marinato (85')
Jul 16, 2020 6.30pm
Lokomotiv
2-1
CSKA
Miranchuk (33' pen., 90+1' pen.)
Magkeev (21'), Corluka (38'), Farfan (75'), Ignatyev (89')
Vlasic (71')
Akinfeev (33'), Nababkin (90+1'), Magnusson (90+5')