Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 31.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Sochi win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.

Result
Sochi	Draw	Spartak Moscow
31.5% ( 0.04)	23.7% ( 0.01)	44.8% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 60.99% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.16% (

-0.05)

40.84% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.77% (

-0.05)

63.23% (

0.05)

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.84% (

25.16% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.12% (

59.88% (

-0.01)

Spartak Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.49% (

-0.04)

18.51% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.26% (

-0.07)

49.74% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Sochi 31.5%

Spartak Moscow 44.8%

Draw 23.7%

Sochi	Draw	Spartak Moscow
2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.44% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.58% Total : 31.5%	1-1 @ 10.84% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.7%	1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 3.53% Total : 44.8%

Head to Head

Aug 14, 2022 6pm

Spartak Moscow

3-0

Sochi

Promes (57', 84'), Zinkovskiy (71')
Sobolev (59')

Kravtsov (88')

Dec 13, 2021 4pm

Sochi

3-0

Spartak Moscow

Noboa (28' pen.), Popov (89'), Yusupov (90+7' pen.)

Ignatov (27'), Yusupov (36'), Prokhin (45+3'), Tsallagov (48'), Rodrigao (63'), Gigot (79'), Bakaev (90'), Adamov (90+1'), Popov (90+3')
Noboa (66'), Caufriez (90+6')

Aug 26, 2021 4.30pm

Spartak Moscow

1-2

Sochi

Zobnin (60')
Zobnin (38'), Sobolev (90+2'), Hendrix (90+3')

Barsov (65'), Yusupov (72')
Angban (34'), Margasov (39'), Rodrigao (41'), Dzhanaev (90+5')

Dec 12, 2020 1.30pm

Sochi

1-0

Spartak Moscow

Noboa (57')
Mammana (9'), Terekhov (26'), Dugandzic (50'), Zabolotny (65'), Zaika (83')

Kral (32'), Tedesco (41'), Umyarov (81'), Lucas (90+4')