Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 41.77%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.

Result
Krylia Sovetov	Draw	Sochi
41.77% ( 0.98)	26.99% ( -0.29)	31.24% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 49.94% (

0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.85% (

0.91)

55.15% (

-0.9)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.61% (

0.75)

76.4% (

-0.74)

Krylia Sovetov Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.95% (

0.95)

26.05% (

-0.94)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.91% (

1.26)

61.09% (

-1.25)

Sochi Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.54% (

-0.01)

32.47% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.01% (

-0.02)

68.99% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Krylia Sovetov 41.76%

Sochi 31.24%

Draw 26.99%

Krylia Sovetov	Draw	Sochi
1-0 @ 11.37% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.22% Total : 41.76%	1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.99%	0-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 7.2% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 31.24%