Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for CSKA Moscow in this match.