Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 40.68%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Rostov win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.