Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 19.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for an Akhmat Grozny win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.

Result
CSKA Moscow	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
56.88% ( -0.02)	23.57% ( -0.04)	19.54% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 49.24% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.34% (

0.23)

50.65% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.44% (

0.2)

72.56% (

-0.2)

CSKA Moscow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.39% (

0.07)

17.6% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.82% (

0.13)

48.18% (

-0.12)

Akhmat Grozny Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.77% (

0.2)

40.23% (

-0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.13% (

0.18)

76.86% (

-0.18)

Score Analysis

CSKA Moscow 56.88%

Akhmat Grozny 19.54%

Draw 23.57%

CSKA Moscow	Draw	Akhmat Grozny
1-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.63% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 56.88%	1-1 @ 11.2% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.57%	0-1 @ 6.45% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.17% Total : 19.54%

Head to Head

May 1, 2022 5pm

Akhmat Grozny

2-0

CSKA

Utkin (46'), Berisha (90+7')
Sadulaev (45+1'), Semenov (63'), Bystrov (90+3')

Yazici (38')

Aug 21, 2021 2pm

CSKA

2-0

Akhmat Grozny

Yakovlev (71'), Ejuke (75')
Fernandes (18'), Mukhin (28'), Maradishvili (68')

Kharin (13'), Berisha (28')
Kharin (23')

Mar 6, 2021 11am

CSKA

2-0

Akhmat Grozny

Rondon (38' pen.), Vlasic (52')
Fernandes (27'), Tiknizyan (90+1')

Bogosavac (21'), Berisha (35'), Sheliya (52'), Nenakhov (67'), Shvets (80')

Aug 30, 2020 4pm

Akhmat Grozny

0-3

CSKA

Semenov (62'), Nizic (89')

Kuchayev (11'), Bistrovic (88'), Vlasic (90')
Tiknizyan (30'), Maradishvili (39'), Fernandes (48'), Chalov (53'), Diveev (75'), Shchennikov (78'), Zaynutdinov (84')

Jul 4, 2020 6.30pm

Akhmat Grozny

0-4

CSKA

Chalov (61'), Vlasic (62'), Sigurdsson (65'), Semenov (85' og.)
Maradishvili (27'), Shchennikov (74')

Form Guide

Zenit 2-1 CSKA

CSKA 4-1 Fakel

Nizhny Novgorod 2-2 CSKA

CSKA 3-0 Sochi

CSKA 2-0 Ural

CSKA 4-0 Rostov