Russian Premier League | Gameweek 2
Jul 24, 2022 at 6pm UK
Akhmat Arena
Fakel

Akhmat Grozny
2 - 1
Fakel

Ilyin (37'), Agalarov (64')
Shvets (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Maksimov (27')
Akbashev (63'), Shavaev (74')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akhmat Grozny and Fakel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Akhmat Grozny

Last Six:
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 1-1 Spartak Moscow
Saturday, July 16 at 6pm in Russian Premier League

Fakel

Last Six:
Last Game: Krasnodar 2-2 Fakel
Sunday, July 17 at 6pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Fakel win was 0-1 (9.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.

Result
Akhmat GroznyDrawFakel
41.96% (0.039999999999999 0.04)26.74% (0.032 0.03)31.3% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)
Both teams to score 50.73% (-0.129 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.85% (-0.148 -0.15)54.15% (0.146 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.43% (-0.125 -0.13)75.57% (0.123 0.12)
Akhmat Grozny Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.51% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)25.49% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.66% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)60.34% (0.062000000000005 0.06)
Fakel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.09% (-0.12899999999999 -0.13)31.91% (0.127 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.64% (-0.146 -0.15)68.36% (0.14400000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Akhmat Grozny 41.95%
    Fakel 31.3%
    Draw 26.74%
Akhmat GroznyDrawFakel
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.6% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.95% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.46% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 41.95%
1-1 @ 12.7% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.14% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.96% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.74%
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.31% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.76% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 31.3%

rhs 2.0


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