Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Torpedo Moskva had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Torpedo Moskva win was 1-0 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.