Russian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Mar 18, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov
Fakel3 - 0Sochi
Gongadze (34' pen.), Magal (73'), Ivakhnov (79')
Kalinin (53'), Morozov (69'), Svinov (90+1')
Kalinin (53'), Morozov (69'), Svinov (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Fakel and Sochi.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 3-2 Fakel
Saturday, March 11 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League
Saturday, March 11 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Sochi 0-4 Orenburg
Friday, March 10 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Friday, March 10 at 4pm in Russian Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 35.8% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fakel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fakel | Draw | Sochi |
37.18% ( -0.16) | 27.02% ( -0.07) | 35.8% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 50.85% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
