Russian Premier League | Gameweek 19
Mar 10, 2023 at 4pm UK
Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht

Sochi
0 - 4
Orenburg

FT(HT: 0-1)
Kaplenko (45'), Noboa (50' og.), Basic (67'), Kavalyow (74')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Sochi and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sochi

All competitions
Last Game: Sochi 2-0 CSKA
Sunday, March 5 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 3-1 Orenburg
Saturday, March 4 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 60.55%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 18.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 1-0 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.45%), while for a Orenburg win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
SochiDrawOrenburg
60.55% (-0.012 -0.01)20.55% (0.0040000000000013 0)18.9% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.1% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.63% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)38.36% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.35% (0.009999999999998 0.01)60.65% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Sochi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.7% (0.0010000000000048 0)12.29% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.93%38.06% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.24% (0.015999999999991 0.02)33.75% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.58% (0.018000000000001 0.02)70.41% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Sochi 60.55%
    Orenburg 18.9%
    Draw 20.55%
SochiDrawOrenburg
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 6.92%
3-0 @ 6.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 3.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.52%
5-0 @ 1.4% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 60.55%
1-1 @ 9.45%
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.55%
1-2 @ 5.13% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 4.51%
0-2 @ 2.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
1-3 @ 1.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 18.9%

Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 12pm
Orenburg
4-1
Sochi
Ayupov (3'), Florentin (21'), Sychevoy (44' pen.), Marin (53' pen.)
Shipunov (69')
Mar 11, 2020 4.30pm
Sochi
5-1
Orenburg
Ayupov (24' og.), Kokorin (35' pen., 62'), Mostovoy (73'), Noboa (78')
Fameyeh (85')
Fameyeh (87')
Aug 16, 2019 4pm
Orenburg
1-1
Sochi
Kalugin (46' og.)
Ayupov (22'), Miskic (42'), Despotovic (84')
Poloz (68' pen.)
Novoseltsev (19'), Tsallagov (63'), Noboa (92')