Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 42.59%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 31.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Fakel win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.