Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fakel win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 36.89% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fakel win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.