Russian Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 3, 2022 at 11am UK
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg
3 - 1
Khimki

Sychevoy (37'), Marin (39', 72')
Sivakov (47'), Ayupov (51'), Sychevoy (55'), Vera (69')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Dolgov (24')
Lomovitski (43')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Khimki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

Last Six:
Last Game: Lokomotiv 5-1 Orenburg
Sunday, August 28 at 1pm in Russian Premier League

Khimki

Last Six:
Last Game: Sochi 4-1 Khimki
Friday, August 26 at 6pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 28.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Khimki win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orenburg would win this match.

Result
OrenburgDrawKhimki
45.51% (-0.421 -0.42)25.97% (-0.444 -0.44)28.52% (0.863 0.86)
Both teams to score 51.69% (1.903 1.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.75% (2.198 2.2)52.24% (-2.199 -2.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.05% (1.861 1.86)73.95% (-1.861 -1.86)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (0.747 0.75)22.9% (-0.75 -0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.33% (1.09 1.09)56.66% (-1.091 -1.09)
Khimki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.05% (1.836 1.84)32.95% (-1.838 -1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.47% (1.988 1.99)69.53% (-1.989 -1.99)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 45.51%
    Khimki 28.52%
    Draw 25.96%
OrenburgDrawKhimki
1-0 @ 11.12% (-0.74 -0.74)
2-1 @ 9.1% (0.071 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.2% (-0.354 -0.35)
3-1 @ 4.47% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 4.03% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.191 0.19)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.083 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 45.51%
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 7.55% (-0.681 -0.68)
2-2 @ 5.05% (0.284 0.28)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 8.38% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-2 @ 6.86% (0.241 0.24)
0-2 @ 4.65% (0.063 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.209 0.21)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.191 0.19)
0-3 @ 1.72% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 28.52%