Russian Premier League | Gameweek 28
May 20, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion Gazovik
Zenit St Petersburg

Orenburg
2 - 2
Zenit

Ektov (41'), Gojkovic (62')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mantuan (28'), Sergeev (90+5')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Zenit St Petersburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Ural 2-1 Orenburg
Saturday, May 13 at 10am in Russian Premier League

Zenit St Petersburg

All competitions
Last Game: Zenit 2-2 Krasnodar
Saturday, May 13 at 2.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 59.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Orenburg had a probability of 18.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.62%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Orenburg win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
OrenburgDrawZenit St Petersburg
18.5%22.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)59.1% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 51.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.66% (0.0049999999999955 0)47.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.44% (0.004999999999999 0)69.56% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)39.47% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.84% (0.0019999999999989 0)76.16% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.34% (0.0019999999999953 0)15.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.31% (0.0039999999999978 0)44.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 18.5%
    Zenit St Petersburg 59.09%
    Draw 22.4%
OrenburgDrawZenit St Petersburg
1-0 @ 5.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 4.95%
2-0 @ 2.67%
3-1 @ 1.53%
3-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 18.5%
1-1 @ 10.65%
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.4%
0-1 @ 11.46%
0-2 @ 10.62%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-3 @ 6.57%
1-3 @ 6.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-4 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 2.83%
2-4 @ 1.32%
0-5 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 59.09%

Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 3.30pm
gameweek 9
Zenit
8-0
Orenburg
Wendel (3', 43', 68'), Sergeev (17'), Kuzyaev (19'), Malcom (29', 59'), Pavlovets (51' og.)
Kuzyaev (10')
Jul 15, 2020 6.30pm
gameweek 29
Zenit
4-1
Orenburg
Malykh (2' og.), Azmoun (61', 77'), Dzyuba (90+1')
Ozdoyev (34'), Prokhin (52'), Shamkin (73'), Rakitskiy (74')
Fameyeh (32')
Shakhov (30'), Fameyeh (36'), Terekhov (65'), Skoflek (90')
Jul 28, 2019 12pm
Orenburg
0-2
Zenit

Kozlov (54'), Dovbnya (90')
Azmoun (1'), Dzyuba (55' pen.)
Dzyuba (65'), Sutormin (77'), Barrios (80')
Mar 31, 2019 12pm
gameweek 21
Zenit
3-1
Orenburg
Azmoun (48', 88'), Rakitskiy (81')
Zhirkov (40'), Rakitskiy (76')
Sutormin (33')
Malykh (75')
Sep 16, 2018 12pm
gameweek 7
Orenburg
1-2
Zenit
Oyewole (48')
Miskic (41')
Erokhin (14', 45')
Smolnikov (50'), Neto (53')