Russian Premier League | Gameweek 23
Apr 16, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stadion Gazovik
Lokomotiv Moscow

Orenburg
1 - 4
Lokomotiv

Vorobyev (45+3')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Glushenkov (10', 30'), Tiknizyan (26'), Kamano (55')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Lokomotiv Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Orenburg 2-2 Rostov
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in Russian Premier League

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Lokomotiv 1-2 Zenit
Sunday, April 9 at 6pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orenburg win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orenburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
OrenburgDrawLokomotiv Moscow
39.42% (-0.795 -0.8)25.46% (0.263 0.26)35.11% (0.532 0.53)
Both teams to score 55.94% (-0.80399999999999 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.08% (-1.085 -1.08)47.92% (1.085 1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.9% (-1.006 -1.01)70.09% (1.006 1.01)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.99% (-0.886 -0.89)24% (0.886 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.74% (-1.28 -1.28)58.26% (1.281 1.28)
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.62% (-0.199 -0.2)26.38% (0.2 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.46% (-0.26799999999999 -0.27)61.53% (0.268 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 39.42%
    Lokomotiv Moscow 35.11%
    Draw 25.46%
OrenburgDrawLokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 9.04% (0.172 0.17)
2-1 @ 8.59% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.45% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.124 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.46% (-0.097 -0.1)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.066 -0.07)
4-2 @ 0.97% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 39.42%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.17 0.17)
0-0 @ 6.33% (0.281 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.21% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.46%
0-1 @ 8.44% (0.327 0.33)
1-2 @ 8.02% (0.063 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.62% (0.187 0.19)
1-3 @ 3.56% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.5% (0.069 0.07)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 35.11%

Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 1pm
Lokomotiv
5-1
Orenburg
Ignatyev (8', 11', 19'), Kerk (52'), Miranchuk (90+4' pen.)
Barinov (82')
Sychevoy (13')
Pavlovets (36'), Khotulev (84'), Florentin (90+4')
Jun 21, 2020 3.30pm
Lokomotiv
1-0
Orenburg
Miranchuk (38')
Zhemaletdinov (19'), Cerqueira (52'), Barinov (79')
Zhemaletdinov (45+4')

Miskic (41'), Malykh (57'), Sylla (64'), Fameyeh (70'), Ayupov (72'), Zotov (80'), Radakovic (90+3')
Miskic (62'), Malykh (84')
Sep 22, 2019 9.30am
Orenburg
2-3
Lokomotiv
Rogic (69'), Kulishev (93')
Barinov (10'), Smolov (48' pen.), Eder (88')
Ignatyev (33'), Zhivoglyadov (45'), Kolomeytsev (77')
Dec 8, 2018 2.30pm
Lokomotiv
2-1
Orenburg
Farfan (76', 81')
Krychowiak (69'), Barinov (92')
Despotovic (8')
Sutormin (17'), Despotovic (66')
Aug 12, 2018 12pm
Orenburg
1-0
Lokomotiv
Chukanov (91')
Miskic (77'), Begic (95')

Miranchuk (14'), Corluka (20'), Lysov (67')