Russian Premier League | Gameweek 19
Mar 11, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Akhmat Arena
Lokomotiv Moscow

Akhmat Grozny
0 - 1
Lokomotiv

FT(HT: 0-1)
Pinyaev (11')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Akhmat Grozny and Lokomotiv Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions
Last Game: Akhmat Grozny 3-1 Orenburg
Saturday, March 4 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Rostov 1-3 Lokomotiv
Saturday, March 4 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Akhmat GroznyDrawLokomotiv Moscow
46.74% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)25.56% (0.016999999999999 0.02)27.69% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 52.37% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.9% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)51.1% (0.035999999999994 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.05% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)72.95% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Akhmat Grozny Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (-0.048999999999992 -0.05)21.86% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.91% (-0.073 -0.07)55.09% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.01% (0.024000000000001 0.02)32.98% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.43% (0.027999999999999 0.03)69.57% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Akhmat Grozny 46.74%
    Lokomotiv Moscow 27.69%
    Draw 25.56%
Akhmat GroznyDrawLokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 9.25% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 46.74%
1-1 @ 12.15%
0-0 @ 7.21% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 8% (0.017 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.74% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.43% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.49% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.64% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 27.69%

Head to Head
Sep 4, 2022 3.30pm
Lokomotiv
1-2
Akhmat Grozny
Miranchuk (42' pen.)
Kerk (8')
Konate (3'), Sadulaev (62')
Mar 19, 2022 1.30pm
Akhmat Grozny
2-3
Lokomotiv
Troshechkin (20'), Utkin (45+3')
Shvets (2'), Timofeev (39'), Konovalov (58')
Zhemaletdinov (10'), Isidor (54'), Kuchta (62')
Kuchta (13'), Kerk (27'), Zhemaletdinov (37'), Mampasi (45'), Barinov (45'), Khudyakov (47')
Nov 20, 2021 1.30pm
Lokomotiv
1-2
Akhmat Grozny
Lisakovich (64')
Kerk (43'), Pablo (63'), Marinato (67'), Chyorny (89'), Kamano (90+3')
Cerqueira (35')
Utkin (36'), Polyarus (58')
Nizic (52'), Lystsov (65'), Konovalov (67')
Nov 28, 2020 4pm
Akhmat Grozny
0-0
Lokomotiv

Melkadze (43'), Nenakhov (61')

Magkeev (10'), Cerqueira (45'), Kulikov (67')
Aug 26, 2020 4.30pm
Lokomotiv
2-3
Akhmat Grozny
Miranchuk (48' pen.), Krychowiak (77')
Ignatyev (24'), Zhemaletdinov (34'), Eder (70'), (90+4'), (90+4')
Ilyin (3'), Timofeev (45+1'), Berisha (58')
Nenakhov (25'), Timofeev (32'), Bystrov (38'), Berisha (59'), Semenov (71'), Ilyin (90'), Ivanov (90+1'), Shvets (90+1')
Bystrov (62'), Shvets (90+1')