Russian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Mar 4, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Rostov Arena
Lokomotiv Moscow

Rostov
1 - 3
Lokomotiv

Komlichenko (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dzyuba (33', 57', 64')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Rostov and Lokomotiv Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rostov

All competitions
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 1-3 Rostov
Saturday, November 12 at 11am in Russian Premier League

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Lokomotiv 1-2 Spartak Moscow
Saturday, November 12 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Lokomotiv Moscow had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
RostovDrawLokomotiv Moscow
43.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.26% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)30.79% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 55.24% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.78% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)48.21% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.63% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)70.37% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Rostov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)21.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)55.19% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)29.25% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.79% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)65.21% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Rostov 43.95%
    Lokomotiv Moscow 30.79%
    Draw 25.25%
RostovDrawLokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.08%
2-0 @ 7.39% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.74%
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.74% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 43.95%
1-1 @ 11.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.01% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.99%
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.79%

Head to Head
Jul 24, 2022 6pm
Lokomotiv
2-2
Rostov
Miranchuk (35' pen.), Maradishvili (90+4')
Miranchuk (36'), Beka Beka (50'), Jedvaj (90+2'), Maradishvili (90+5')
Beka Beka (65')
Komlichenko (4'), Utkin (88')
Poloz (30'), Prokhin (34'), Mironov (65')
Apr 10, 2022 5.30pm
Rostov
4-1
Lokomotiv
Shchetinin (33'), Osipenko (43'), Poloz (61'), Komlichenko (70' pen.)
Osipenko (30')
Isidor (81' pen.)
Isidor (30'), Khapov (38'), Zhivoglyadov (67')
Tiknizyan (36')
Oct 3, 2021 5pm
Lokomotiv
1-2
Rostov
Maradishvili (9')
Pablo (72')
Kerk (31' og.), Poloz (88')
Almqvist (68'), Bayramyan (70'), Pesyakov (90+4')
Apr 17, 2021 2.30pm
Lokomotiv
4-1
Rostov
Kamano (4'), Zhemaletdinov (6'), Krychowiak (65' pen.), Eder (90+1')
Magkeev (11')
Hadzikadunic (33')
Hashimoto (8'), Gigovic (17')
Gigovic (52')
Sep 14, 2020 6.30pm
Rostov
0-0
Lokomotiv

Ionov (77')

Krychowiak (74'), Ignatyev (90+3')
rhs 2.0


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