Russian Premier League | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade Municipal 1

Nizhny Novgorod
3 - 2
Akhmat Grozny

Mikhailov (20'), Suleymanov (52'), Rybchinsky (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ilyin (73'), Timofeev (86')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Nizhny Novgorod and Akhmat Grozny.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nizhny Novgorod

All competitions
Last Game: CSKA 0-1 Nizhny Novgorod
Saturday, November 5 at 4pm in Russian Premier League

Akhmat Grozny

All competitions
Last Game: Zenit 1-2 Akhmat Grozny
Saturday, November 5 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Nizhny NovgorodDrawAkhmat Grozny
33.75% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)27.49% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)38.77% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Both teams to score 49.15% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.52% (0.088999999999999 0.09)56.48% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.52% (0.071999999999999 0.07)77.48% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Nizhny Novgorod Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.57% (0.024999999999991 0.02)31.43% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.2% (0.027999999999999 0.03)67.81% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Akhmat Grozny Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (0.075000000000003 0.08)28.33% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (0.094999999999999 0.09)64.06% (-0.092999999999989 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Nizhny Novgorod 33.74%
    Akhmat Grozny 38.77%
    Draw 27.48%
Nizhny NovgorodDrawAkhmat Grozny
1-0 @ 10.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.52%
2-0 @ 5.96% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.9% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.3% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.83% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 33.74%
1-1 @ 12.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.9% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.48%
0-1 @ 11.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.98% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 38.77%

Head to Head
Sep 10, 2022 5.45pm
Akhmat Grozny
1-3
Nizhny Novgorod
Zhuravlev (59')
Troshechkin (28')
Suleymanov (22', 61'), Gotsuk (64')
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Nizhny Novgorod
0-1
Akhmat Grozny

Gotsuk (18'), Gorbunov (81')
Troshechkin (74')
Berisha (29'), Bogosavac (89'), Sheliya (90')
Utsiyev (53')
Nov 7, 2021 4pm
Akhmat Grozny
3-1
Nizhny Novgorod
Konate (39'), Penchikov (72' og.), Utkin (90')
Konovalov (14'), Sadulaev (79')
Kosarev (54')
Kalinsky (37')