Russian Premier League | Gameweek 21
Apr 2, 2023 at 12pm UK
Samara Arena

Krylia Sovetov
1 - 1
Orenburg

Tsypchenko (7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vorobyev (30')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Krylia Sovetov and Orenburg.

Form, Standings, Stats

Krylia Sovetov

All competitions
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 0-1 Akhmat Grozny
Sunday, March 19 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Orenburg 2-0 Spartak Moscow
Saturday, March 18 at 9am in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 27.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Krylia SovetovDrawOrenburg
48.7% (0.292 0.29)24.1% (-0.136 -0.14)27.2% (-0.151 -0.15)
Both teams to score 56.72% (0.33199999999999 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.8% (0.498 0.5)45.2% (-0.493 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.46% (0.475 0.48)67.54% (-0.471 -0.47)
Krylia Sovetov Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.35% (0.312 0.31)18.66% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.02% (0.518 0.52)49.98% (-0.514 -0.51)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.73% (0.14400000000001 0.14)30.27% (-0.14 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (0.172 0.17)66.44% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Krylia Sovetov 48.7%
    Orenburg 27.2%
    Draw 24.1%
Krylia SovetovDrawOrenburg
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.023 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-0 @ 7.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.32% (0.065 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.46% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.24% (0.049 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.34% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 48.7%
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.65% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.1%
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-2 @ 4.03% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 27.2%

Head to Head
Jul 16, 2022 3.30pm
Orenburg
2-4
Krylia Sovetov
Tsypchenko (31' og.), Ayupov (83')
Ezhov (49'), Glushenkov (54', 72'), Yakuba (84')
Feb 28, 2020 3.30pm
Krylia Sovetov
1-1
Orenburg
Popovic (41')
Popovic (59')
Mijailovic (23')
Alves (89')
Kuat (31'), Malykh (40'), Despotovic (73'), Sivakov (90'), Radakovic (90')
Oct 20, 2019 9.30am
Orenburg
0-1
Krylia Sovetov

Rogic (45'), Alves (57'), Ayupov (92')
Anton (18')
Kanunnikov (27'), Anton (63'), Ryzhikov (89')
Anyukov (92')
Apr 3, 2019 3pm
Orenburg
3-1
Krylia Sovetov
Sutormin (8' pen.), Begic (17'), Sivakov (54')
Oyewole (11'), Popovic (70'), Miskic (91')
Seydayev (12' pen.)
Zotov (19'), Burlak (53'), Anton (73')
Aug 5, 2018 2.30pm
Krylia Sovetov
0-3
Orenburg

Sobolev (90')
Kozlov (26', 45'), Breev (38')
Chirkin (0'), Breev (34'), Kozlov (36'), Sutormin (62')