Russian Premier League | Gameweek 21
Apr 1, 2023 at 12pm UK
Stade Municipal 1
Lokomotiv Moscow

Nizhny Novgorod
0 - 4
Lokomotiv

FT(HT: 0-3)
Dzyuba (15', 31'), Barinov (27'), Miranchuk (90+2')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Nizhny Novgorod and Lokomotiv Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nizhny Novgorod

All competitions
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 0-3 Torpedo Moskva
Sunday, March 19 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Lokomotiv Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Lokomotiv 3-2 Krasnodar
Saturday, March 18 at 4.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.

Result
Nizhny NovgorodDrawLokomotiv Moscow
29.1% (0.018000000000001 0.02)27.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)43.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.69% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.17% (0.015000000000001 0.02)58.82% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.66% (0.012 0.01)79.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Nizhny Novgorod Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64% (0.021000000000001 0.02)36% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.22% (0.023 0.02)72.78% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.96%27.04% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.59% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.41% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Nizhny Novgorod 29.1%
    Lokomotiv Moscow 43.11%
    Draw 27.78%
Nizhny NovgorodDrawLokomotiv Moscow
1-0 @ 9.95% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 6.64% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.48% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 29.1%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 9.74% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.78%
0-1 @ 12.73%
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 8.33% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.71%
0-3 @ 3.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.21%
0-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 43.11%

Head to Head
Jul 17, 2022 3.30pm
Lokomotiv
1-1
Nizhny Novgorod
Isidor (52')
Jedvaj (18'), Beka Beka (59')
Krotov (70')
Suleymanov (25'), Sharipov (90+6')
Suleymanov (28')
Apr 23, 2022 2.30pm
Lokomotiv
2-1
Nizhny Novgorod
Zhemaletdinov (37', 53')
Zhivoglyadov (30'), Rybus (76'), Zhemaletdinov (81'), Barinov (88')
Kravtsov (77')
Kozlov (90+2')
Berkovskiy (72')
Oct 30, 2021 5pm
Nizhny Novgorod
1-2
Lokomotiv
Berkovskiy (31')
Kalinsky (80'), Sinitsyn (90+2'), Suleymanov (90+3')
Zhemaletdinov (38'), Miladinovic (90+6' og.)
Maradishvili (21'), Anjorin (51'), Beka Beka (59'), Rybus (85'), Gisdol (90+5')