Zenit St Petersburg
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Mar 4, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Saint Petersburg Stadium

Zenit
3 - 0
Nizhny Novgorod

Malcom (12', 47'), Erokhin (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Zenit St Petersburg and Nizhny Novgorod.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zenit St Petersburg

All competitions
Last Game: Torpedo Moskva 0-2 Zenit
Saturday, November 12 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Nizhny Novgorod

All competitions
Last Game: Nizhny Novgorod 3-2 Akhmat Grozny
Friday, November 11 at 4pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 80.7%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 6.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.71%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.16%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (2.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.

Result
Zenit St PetersburgDrawNizhny Novgorod
80.7% (-1.811 -1.81)12.94% (1.091 1.09)6.36% (0.7259 0.73)
Both teams to score 43.59% (0.13200000000001 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.35% (-2.324 -2.32)35.66% (2.33 2.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.28% (-2.615 -2.62)57.72% (2.62 2.62)
Zenit St Petersburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.17% (-0.827 -0.83)6.83% (0.8321 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.84% (-2.279 -2.28)25.17% (2.284 2.28)
Nizhny Novgorod Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.78% (0.556 0.56)53.22% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.21% (0.346 0.35)86.79% (-0.339 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Zenit St Petersburg 80.7%
    Nizhny Novgorod 6.36%
    Draw 12.94%
Zenit St PetersburgDrawNizhny Novgorod
2-0 @ 13.09% (0.33 0.33)
3-0 @ 11.71% (-0.26 -0.26)
1-0 @ 9.76% (0.68 0.68)
2-1 @ 8.26% (0.335 0.33)
4-0 @ 7.86% (-0.564 -0.56)
3-1 @ 7.39% (-0.042000000000001 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.96% (-0.269 -0.27)
5-0 @ 4.22% (-0.521 -0.52)
5-1 @ 2.66% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-2 @ 2.33% (0.025 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.89% (-0.336 -0.34)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.058 -0.06)
6-1 @ 1.19% (-0.188 -0.19)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 80.7%
1-1 @ 6.16% (0.523 0.52)
0-0 @ 3.64% (0.409 0.41)
2-2 @ 2.6% (0.146 0.15)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 12.94%
0-1 @ 2.29% (0.292 0.29)
1-2 @ 1.94% (0.194 0.19)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 6.36%

Head to Head
Oct 16, 2022 2.30pm
Nizhny Novgorod
0-3
Zenit
Kuzyaev (22'), Claudinho (45'), Malcom (65')
Karavayev (51')
May 21, 2022 3pm
Nizhny Novgorod
1-0
Zenit
Kalinsky (20' pen.)
Karasev (85')

Ozdoyev (19')
Nov 19, 2021 4pm
Zenit
5-1
Nizhny Novgorod
Malcom (24'), Dzyuba (34', 45+2', 59'), Chistyakov (88')
Azmoun (90+1'), Barrios (90+1'), Sutormin (90+3')
Kozlov (39')
Boumal (41'), Gorbunov (55'), Miladinovic (90+1')
Boumal (43')