Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 15.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
Fenerbahce	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
66.24% ( -2.66)	18.24% ( 0.8)	15.52% ( 1.87)

Both teams to score 59.27% (

2.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.49% (

0.37)

33.51% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.69% (

0.42)

55.31% (

-0.41)

Fenerbahce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.57% (

-0.51)

9.43% (

0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.31% (

-1.22)

31.69% (

1.22)

Istanbul Basaksehir Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.44% (

2.69)

34.56% (

-2.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.72% (

2.76)

71.28% (

-2.75)

Score Analysis

Fenerbahce 66.24%

Istanbul Basaksehir 15.52%

Draw 18.24%

Fenerbahce	Draw	Istanbul Basaksehir
2-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.09% ( -0.62) 1-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.33) 3-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.67) 4-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.5) 3-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.22) 4-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.29) 5-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.69% Total : 66.24%	1-1 @ 8.17% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.4) 0-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.25% Total : 18.24%	1-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.22) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.25) Other @ 2.53% Total : 15.52%