MX23RW : Monday, May 13 20:53:30| >> :60:2406:2406:
Turkish Cup | Final
Jun 11, 2023 at 6.45pm UK
Goztepe Gursel Aksel Stadi (Izmir)
Istanbul Basaksehir

Fenerbahce
2 - 0
Istanbul

Batshuayi (1', 29')
Zajc (14'), Aziz (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Turuc (67'), Paulin Keny (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Cup final between Fenerbahce and Istanbul Basaksehir, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fenerbahce

All competitions
Turkish Cup
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-0 Fenerbahce
Sunday, June 4 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Istanbul Basaksehir

All competitions
Turkish Cup
Last Game: Istanbul 3-1 Trabzonspor
Tuesday, June 6 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fenerbahce 2-1 Istanbul Basaksehir

 Though the pressure is piled high on their shoulders, Fenerbahce have a clear advantage in terms of both attacking options and squad depth, which could prove the difference in Goztepe. Having also seen off Basaksehir twice in the past few months, they will know what it takes to secure a win that brings silverware back to the club after several years. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 66.24%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 15.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.17%), while for a Istanbul Basaksehir win it was 1-2 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.

Result
FenerbahceDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
66.24% (-2.662 -2.66) 18.24% (0.797 0.8) 15.52% (1.87 1.87)
Both teams to score 59.27% (2.115 2.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.49% (0.371 0.37)33.51% (-0.365 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.69% (0.422 0.42)55.31% (-0.415 -0.41)
Fenerbahce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.57% (-0.506 -0.51)9.43% (0.512 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.31% (-1.217 -1.22)31.69% (1.223 1.22)
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.44% (2.689 2.69)34.56% (-2.683 -2.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.72% (2.756 2.76)71.28% (-2.75 -2.75)
Score Analysis
    Fenerbahce 66.24%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 15.52%
    Draw 18.24%
FenerbahceDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 9.09% (-0.617 -0.62)
1-0 @ 7.69% (-0.333 -0.33)
3-1 @ 7.6% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-0 @ 7.15% (-0.666 -0.67)
4-1 @ 4.49% (-0.181 -0.18)
4-0 @ 4.22% (-0.503 -0.5)
3-2 @ 4.04% (0.224 0.22)
4-2 @ 2.38% (0.078 0.08)
5-1 @ 2.12% (-0.137 -0.14)
5-0 @ 1.99% (-0.29 -0.29)
5-2 @ 1.13% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 4.69%
Total : 66.24%
1-1 @ 8.17% (0.246 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.13% (0.396 0.4)
0-0 @ 3.26% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.175 0.18)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 18.24%
1-2 @ 4.34% (0.428 0.43)
0-1 @ 3.46% (0.182 0.18)
0-2 @ 1.84% (0.219 0.22)
2-3 @ 1.82% (0.258 0.26)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.249 0.25)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 15.52%

How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Istanbul

Fenerbahce
87.7%
Draw
5.3%
Istanbul Basaksehir
7.0%
57
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 6.30pm
gameweek 30
Istanbul
1-2
Fenerbahce
Aleksic (30')
Pedro (88', 90+3')
Oct 22, 2022 6pm
gameweek 11
Fenerbahce
1-0
Istanbul
Rossi (84')
Feb 5, 2022 4pm
gameweek 24
Fenerbahce
0-1
Istanbul

Crespo (24'), Ozer (38'), Berisha (72')
Ozcan (61')
Turuc (39'), Cigerci (51'), Duarte (69'), Ozcan (75')
Sep 19, 2021 5pm
gameweek 5
Istanbul
2-0
Fenerbahce
Okaka (16'), Gulbrandsen (90')

Gustavo (83')
Apr 18, 2021 5pm
gameweek 35
Istanbul
1-2
Fenerbahce
Ali Sahiner (18'), Szalai (40'), Pelkas (57')
Hakan Yandas (19'), Tekdemir (29'), Ndayishimiye (38'), Valencia (60'), Kadioglu (90+3')
Tekdemir (60')
rhs 2.0
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