EFL Cup
Newcastle
Sep 27, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
Man City
  • Alexander Isak 53' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 69' yellowcard
  • Sandro Tonali 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manuel Akanji 65'
  • yellowcard Kalvin Phillips 66'
  • yellowcard Pep Guardiola 78'

Newcastle United vs Manchester City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions

Manchester City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result

Newcastle United 28.64% ▼ (-0.25)
Draw 24.38% ▲ (+0.05)
Manchester City 46.99% ▲ (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.89% ▼ (-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.53% ▼ (-0.33)
Under 2.5 45.47% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 3.5 32.2% ▼ (-0.31)
Under 3.5 67.81% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 4.5 16.22% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 4.5 83.79% ▲ (+0.23)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 70.64% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 0.5 29.36% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 1.5 34.66% ▼ (-0.42)
Under 1.5 65.34% ▲ (+0.42)

Manchester City Goals

Over 0.5 80.54% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 19.46% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 48.69% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 51.31% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 28.64%
Draw 24.38%
Manchester City 46.99%
Newcastle United
2-1 @ 7.02% ▼ (-0.05)
1-0 @ 7% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 4.29% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 2.87% ▼ (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 28.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.46% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 5.75% ▼ (-0.05)
0-0 @ 5.71% ▲ (+0.08)
3-3 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.38%
Manchester City
1-2 @ 9.38% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 9.35% ▲ (+0.12)
0-2 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.09)
1-3 @ 5.12% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.18% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
2-4 @ 1.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 46.99%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 2
Man City
Aug 19, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Etihad Stadium
Newcastle
  • Julian Alvarez 31' goal
  • Julian Alvarez 46' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Anthony Gordon 23'
  • yellowcard Sandro Tonali 34'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 53'
  • yellowcard Harvey Barnes 58'
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 71'
Premier League Gameweek 26
Man City
Mar 4, 2023 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Phil Foden 15' goal
  • Bernardo Silva 67' goal
Premier League Gameweek 3
Newcastle
Aug 21, 2022 4.30pm
3
3
HT : 2 1
FT
Man City
  • Bruno Guimaraes 8' yellowcard
  • Miguel Almiron 28' goal
  • Fabian Schar 34' yellowcard
  • Callum Wilson 39' goal
  • Kieran Trippier 54' goal
  • Kieran Trippier 76' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Ilkay Gundogan 5'
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 18'
  • yellowcard John Stones 52'
  • goal Erling Braut Haaland 60'
  • goal Bernardo Silva 64'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Man City
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Raheem Sterling 19' goal
  • Aymeric Laporte 38' goal
  • Rodri 61' goal
  • Kevin De Bruyne 75' yellowcard
  • Phil Foden 90' goal
  • Raheem Sterling 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 31'
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 70'
  • yellowcard Matt Targett 89'
Premier League Gameweek 18
Newcastle
Dec 19, 2021 2.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT
Man City
  • Isaac Hayden 21' yellowcard
  • goal Ruben Dias 5'
  • yellowcard Rodri 25'
  • goal Joao Cancelo 27'
  • yellowcard Bernardo Silva 30'
  • goal Riyad Mahrez 63'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 86'
Premier League Gameweek 36
Newcastle
May 14, 2021 8.00pm
3
4
HT : 2 2
FT
Man City
  • Emil Krafth 25' goal
  • Matt Ritchie 36' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 45'+6' goal
  • Jonjo Shelvey 59' yellowcard
  • Joe Willock 62' goal
  • goal Joao Cancelo 39'
  • goal Ferran Torres 42'
  • yellowcard Rodri 44'
  • yellowcard Joao Cancelo 56'
  • goal Ferran Torres 64'
  • goal Ferran Torres 66'

Form Data

Sheff Utd 0 - 8 Newcastle
AC Milan 0 - 0 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 0 Brentford
Brighton 3 - 1 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 2 Liverpool
Man City 1 - 0 Newcastle
Man City 2 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Man City 3 - 1 Red Star
West Ham 1 - 3 Man City
Man City 5 - 1 Fulham
Sheff Utd 1 - 2 Man City
Man City 1 - 0 Newcastle

Build-up

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