Premier League Gameweek 5
Sep 16, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT St. James' Park
  • Callum Wilson 64' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Callum Wilson 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Bruno Guimaraes 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yoane Wissa 33'
  • yellowcard Christian Norgaard 42'
  • yellowcard Aaron Hickey 59'
  • yellowcard Mark Flekken 64'
  • yellowcard Nathan Collins 85'

Newcastle United vs Brentford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 5.30pm
Brighton 3 - 1 Newcastle
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Brentford

All competitions
Last game
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
Brentford 2 - 2 Bournemouth
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Yoane Wissa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 25.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newcastle United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Newcastle United.

Result

Newcastle United 50.37% (+0.01)
Draw 24.16% (+0.01)
Brentford 25.48% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.98% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.23% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 46.77% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 30.97% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 69.03% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 15.35% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 84.66% (-0.01)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 81.4% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 18.61% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 50.11% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 49.89% (-0.01)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 67.55% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 32.45% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 31.03% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 68.98% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Newcastle United 50.37%
Draw 24.15%
Brentford 25.48%
Newcastle United
1-0 @ 10.15%
2-1 @ 9.61%
2-0 @ 8.54% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39%
3-0 @ 4.79%
3-2 @ 3.03%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 2.01%
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 50.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42%
0-0 @ 6.04% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.15%
Brentford
0-1 @ 6.8%
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.41% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 25.48%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 30
Apr 8, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Ivan Toney 45'+1' goal
  • goal David Raya 54' (OG)
  • goal Alexander Isak 61'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Oct 8, 2022 3.00pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Bruno Guimaraes 21' goal
  • Jacob Murphy 28' goal
  • Bruno Guimaraes 56' goal
  • Miguel Almiron 82' goal
  • Ethan Pinnock 90' goal
  • goal Ivan Toney 54'
Premier League Gameweek 27
Feb 26, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Josh Dasilva 11' redcard
  • Kristoffer Ajer 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Bryan Mbeumo 84' yellowcard
  • Vitaly Janelt 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Joelinton 33'
  • goal Joe Willock 44'
  • yellowcard Martin Dubravka 68'
Premier League Gameweek 12
Nov 20, 2021 3.00pm
3
3
HT : 2 2
FT
  • Jamaal Lascelles 10' goal
  • Joelinton 39' goal
  • Callum Wilson 46' yellowcard
  • Allan Saint-Maximin 75' goal
  • Allan Saint-Maximin 75' yellowcard
  • goal Ivan Toney 11'
  • goal Rico Henry 31'
  • yellowcard Saman Ghoddos 42'
  • goal Jamaal Lascelles 61' (OG)
  • yellowcard Christian Norgaard 83'
EFL Cup
Dec 22, 2020 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Josh Dasilva 66' goal
  • yellowcard Jonjo Shelvey 70'
Championship
Jan 14, 2017 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lasse Vibe 52' goal
  • Lasse Vibe 81' yellowcard
  • goal Dwight Gayle 20'
  • yellowcard Paul Dummett 31'
  • goal Daryl Murphy 79'

Build-up

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