EFL Cup
Aug 29, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET Rodney Parade
  • Harry Charsley 6' yellowcard
  • Adam Lewis 76' yellowcard
  • Lewis Payne 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Kiban Rai 90'+6' goal
  • goal Mathias Jensen 87'

Newport County vs Brentford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

Brentford

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result

Newport County 40.97% (-0.04)
Draw 26.33% (-0.06)
Brentford 32.69% (+0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.49% (+0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.89% (+0.23)
Under 2.5 52.11% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 26.17% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 73.83% (-0.20)
Over 4.5 12.1% (+0.13)
Under 4.5 87.89% (-0.13)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5 74.91% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 25.08% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 40.23% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 59.77% (-0.12)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5 70.07% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 29.93% (-0.18)
Over 1.5 33.96% (+0.21)
Under 1.5 66.03% (-0.21)

Score analysis

Newport County 40.97%
Draw 26.33%
Brentford 32.69%
Newport County
1-0 @ 10.38% (-0.06)
2-1 @ 8.66% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.99% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.38% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 40.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.08%
Total : 26.33%
Brentford
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 7.55% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.46% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.04% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.2% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.1% (+0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 32.69%