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EFL Cup

Newport County
EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Brentford logo

Newport
1 - 1
Brentford

Rai (90+6')
Charsley (6'), Lewis (76'), Payne (90+4')
FT
(aet)
Jensen (87')
Brentford win 3-0 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Newport County and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Newport 3-1 Sutton
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League Two

Brentford

All competitions
Last Game: Brentford 1-1 Crystal Palace
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.97%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 32.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawBrentford
40.97% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)26.33% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)32.69% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Both teams to score 52.49% (0.183 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.89% (0.222 0.22)52.11% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.17% (0.193 0.19)73.83% (-0.19500000000001 -0.2)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (0.079000000000008 0.08)25.08% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (0.111 0.11)59.77% (-0.113 -0.11)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07% (0.16799999999999 0.17)29.93% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96% (0.204 0.2)66.03% (-0.206 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 40.97%
    Brentford 32.69%
    Draw 26.33%
Newport CountyDrawBrentford
1-0 @ 10.38% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 7.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.99% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.38% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 40.97%
1-1 @ 12.52% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.06% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.55% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.2% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 32.69%

How you voted: Newport vs Brentford

Newport County
22.1%
Brentford
77.9%
68